Friday, November 09, 2007

Weekend Plays

Nailed the game last night, still can't believe oddsmakers were giving WVU 17 points. Anyways, onto this week.

Penn State (25) at Temple +25
Temple has not really been blown out by any opponent this year and the under is 9-3-1 in Temple's last 13 home games. Penn State has played almost all their games close this year and has not faired well going 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Take the points and Temple at home.

Pick: Temple +25

Wake Forest at Clemson (20) -9
Jump on this. Wake Forest is a shell of the team they were last year when they won the ACC championship, and Clemson still beat them by 10 points. Clemson has rolled their past three games, outscoring 147-41. Two of those were conference games. Take Clemson, Spiller, and Davis to roll through the Wake.

Pick: Clemson -9

Alabama (23) at Mississippi State +5
I think Alabama may get Croomed in this matchup. Alabama usually only wins or loses by a few points, never blowing out anyone. The trends are against the Bulldogs, but they did just march into Kentucky and come out with a win, while Bama had that crushing loss at home vs LSU. Croom beat em last year and he knows how to hang tough. Take Sylvester and the points.


Pick: Miss St +5

Texas A&M at Missouri (7) -19.5
Missouri has been a spread covering machine this season, going 7-1 this season against the spread. I don't see them changing at all here, especially against a mediocre Aggie team at home.

Pick: Mizzou -19.5

Kentucky (22) at Vanderbilt +3.5
This is the best Wildcat team we've seen in years, and they have still beat Vandy handily the past three meetings. Vandy has played teams tough this season, but 3.5 points is just a win or a loss straight up anyways and I can't see Kentucky stumbling here after their embarrassing loss to Miss St last week. Look for a big revenge type game from Woodson.

Pick: Kentucky -3.5

Boise State (19) at Utah State +24
Note the Hawaii game where the passing attack put up 52 points on Utah State. Utah State is just a terrible team and the Broncos won this game 49-10 last year. Go blue.

Pick: Boise State -24

Connecticut (16) at Cincinnati -6.5
Is UCONN ever going to get any respect? They are a damn good team this year and have beat three Big East rivals in a row. Cincy has some pop too, but I think a touchdown is too much to take Cincy.

Pick: UCONN +6.5

Kansas (5) at Oklahoma State +6
Kansas still isn't getting any respect either. See here:
  • Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
  • Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
I suppose that means take OK State...nah.

Pick: Kansas -6

Quick Picks:
Michigan -2.5 over Wisconsin
Arkansas Pick'em over Tennessee
Ohio State -15 over Illinois
Virginia Tech -6 over FSU
Georgia -2 over Auburn
Arizona State -7 over UCLA
Miami -3 over Virginia
South Carolina +7 over Florida
Boston College -6 over Maryland
California +4 over USC
Baylor +38 over Oklahoma

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