Big East Bumblers

Tonight we have Louisville at the Mountaineers as 16 point dogs. In most gambling circles, this number has risen to 17. While Louisville has been hit or miss this season, I think this is way too many points to hand to a team that lost to South Florida. Louisville is 4-0 ATS as a big road dog. West Virginia does not have a very impressive secondary, so this could prove to be a big night for Brian Brohm.

Another factor? This game has yet to be a blowout in the Big East.
In '06 - 44-34 Louisville
In '05 - 46-44 WVU

Both of these games saw largely the same players that are on these teams this year. Also, even if WVU gets a nice first half lead, Rich Rodriguez may choose to sit Pat White as he often does, bringing the offense to a complete holt (see South Florida Thursday night game).

My picks?
Tease Louisville to +23 and the spread to over 60.

Both of these teams are strictly offensively minded and as you can see, the 80 point average they have had the last two years is in your favor.

Happy betting.